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00:00
1.
Analysis of Non-Stationary Time Series Data
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01:33
2.
Stationarity
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03:58
3.
A Nonstationary Time Series
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08:33
4.
I(d)
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09:57
5.
Non-Stationarity! So What?
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11:13
6.
I(d)
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11:13
7.
A Nonstationary Time Series
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11:44
8.
I(d)
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11:44
9.
Non-Stationarity! So What?
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11:46
10.
I(d)
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11:50
11.
Non-Stationarity! So What?
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12:55
12.
I(0) vs. I(1)
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14:06
13.
Non-Stationarity! So What?
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16:36
14.
I(0) vs. I(1)
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16:41
15.
White Noise and AR(1)
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18:43
16.
Test for Unit Root
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22:26
17.
Unit Root Test (1)
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22:32
18.
Test for Unit Root
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23:09
19.
Unit Root Test (1)
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26:32
20.
Unit Root Test (2)
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26:56
21.
Unit Root Test (1)
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27:01
22.
Unit Root Test (2)
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27:28
23.
Unit Root Test (1)
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27:35
24.
Unit Root Test (2)
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28:18
25.
Dickey Fuller Test
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29:16
26.
Augmented Dickey Fuller Test (ADF)
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31:17
27.
An Example: Expectation Theory
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36:12
28.
Yields of US T-Bill Example
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39:58
29.
Empirical Work
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42:29
30.
Organize Data
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44:17
31.
Unit Root Test
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45:36
32.
linreg CHX# X1
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46:26
33.
Unit Root Test
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46:27
34.
Organize Data
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46:27
35.
Empirical Work
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46:27
36.
Yields of US T-Bill Example
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46:28
37.
An Example: Expectation Theory
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46:28
38.
Augmented Dickey Fuller Test (ADF)
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46:29
39.
Dickey Fuller Test
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47:04
40.
Augmented Dickey Fuller Test (ADF)
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47:05
41.
An Example: Expectation Theory
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47:05
42.
Yields of US T-Bill Example
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47:06
43.
Empirical Work
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47:07
44.
Organize Data
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47:09
45.
Unit Root Test
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47:10
46.
linreg CHX# X1
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47:36
47.
linreg CHX# constant X1
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49:05
48.
linreg CHX# constant X1 CHX1
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49:38
49.
linreg CHY# Y1
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50:16
50.
linreg CHY# constant Y1
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50:55
51.
linreg CHY# constant Y1 CHY1
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51:11
52.
Cointegration
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54:09
53.
Testing Co-integrating Relation
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56:39
54.
Slide 26
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59:56
55.
Co-integration
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1:02:06
56.
Engle and Granger Representation
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1:02:48
57.
Engle and Granger Representation
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1:05:54
58.
Engle and Granger Process
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1:07:33
59.
Estimating Co-integrating Relation
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1:08:45
60.
Engle-Granger Test for Unit Root
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1:11:03
61.
linreg Y / resid# constant X
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1:12:23
62.
Linreg chxx # xx1
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1:13:17
63.
Linreg chxx # xx1 CHXX{1}
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1:14:10
64.
Error Correction Models
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1:15:05
65.
LINREG CHY# CONSTANT CHX RESIDUALS1
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1:15:57
66.
ECM with Unknown Co-Integrating Relation 𝐶𝐻𝑌 𝑇 =0.996 𝐶𝐻𝑋 𝑇 −0.74( 𝑌 𝑇−1 −0.135−1.026 𝑋 𝑇−1 )
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1:16:33
67.
ECM with Known Co-Integrating Relation 𝐶𝐻𝑌 𝑇 =0.203+0.986 𝐶𝐻𝑋 𝑇 −0.67( 𝑌 𝑇−1 − 𝑋 𝑇−1 )
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1:17:23
68.
Summary